Wednesday, June 8, 2016

Free Money from the Robots!

Gary North -

Here is a headline: This AI expert says that a robot economy will force us to give people unconditional free money. The article is in Business Insider.
In the future, giving people unconditional free money might be the fairest way to deal with a robot-powered economy.At least, that's what data scientist and artificial intelligence expert Jeremy Howard believes.
According to Howard, the pool of displaced workers will just keep growing exponentially, and the solution is to level the playing field.
There are lots of articles like this one these days. (Are they being written by commie algorithms?)
I ask these questions:



First, why is an AI expert uniquely qualified to analyze the fundamentally most important of all practical economic questions, the one going back to Genesis 3:17-19: scarcity?Second, how does a robot economy make this social decision -- an undesigned system?
Third, what is the meaning of "force"?
Fourth, how can any system of wealth redistribution give if it does not first steal?
Fifth, is anything in life unconditional? If so, what? Theologians may say "God's grace," but then these questions arise: "Based on the meeting of which judicial conditions, by whom, when, and awarded on what basis?" Also this: "Grace is a pure gift. It is not given to everyone." Also this: "God doesn't have to take any grace from person A in order to award it to person B."
Sixth, how does money work in a non-market economy?
The article mentions none of these questions.
It rests on the universal assumption of all socialist thought, namely, the assumption that nature imposes no inherent limits. Therefore, scarcity is the product of evil institutions -- institutions based on private ownership. "Property is theft," announced Proudhon. So, socialists conclude, the state should steal it back from the thieves and give it to everyone. This has been the socialist party line for 200 years.
MONEY FOR JUST BEING ALIVE
Here is the threat, we are told: universal job replacement by machines and computers. The crucial question today is this: "Is the pace of employee replacement about to become exponential?" We are told it is just about here.
Problem: this is not visible in the job market. People who want to work find jobs. They may not be great jobs, but they are jobs.
Uber is not using self-driving cars yet. Indian call centers are not using algorithms yet.
If overnight replacement hits any employment area, there will be no agreed-upon answers. Society can voluntarily adjust through market pricing: lower wages for displaced specialists.
In contrast, politicians can respond only through force.
I will now tell you who will not act with speed that is sufficient to deal with an exponential trend: Congress. Congress will also not respond wisely. It will pass laws that make things worse.
I don't need an algorithm to let me conclude this. Past experience is sufficient.
Those AI experts who call for universal free money are kids who took a sociology course as undergraduates. They have long since bought into the socialist paradigm. They offer knee-jerk responses. They do not employ artificial intelligence. They employ real unintelligence.
WHOSE SOLUTIONS?
If algorithms are the only things able to adjust fast enough to exponential change, which is what some AI experts tell us is the case, or soon will be, then algorithms should decide who gets what. The computers really should be in control. In any case, they soon will be. This is a familiar science fiction scenario.
Why should anyone expect that a single worldwide algorithm will come up with a comprehensive economic plan that old-time socialists favor?
Why should we think that algorithms will agree with each other?
Why should we expect algorithms to issue rules beneficial to people rather than computers?
These AI experts think that they, acting as old-time socialists, are smarter than algorithms, present or future. I ask: If these people are correct about the power of algorithms to replace human decision-making, why don't they conclude that 19th-century socialist solutions are outmoded?
Garbage in, garbage out. Socialism in, failure out.
PEOPLE WON'T ADJUST
These AI apocalyptics are saying that the free market does not respond to unemployment.
If the free market does not adjust, then this will be because consumers have stopped buying. They will no longer employ assets, even at zero price. This is the end of scarcity. This is also the end of economic logic, which is based on scarcity. This is nirvana.
Only it's not nirvana all by itself. It needs help from central planners. That is because the free market will not offer jobs at lower wages at any price. These people will starve.
Am I exaggerating? Me? Mr. low-key rhetoric? I could not possibly match Mr. Howard.
By Howard's logic, once AI displaces those workers, society will have a choice to make."Do you want half of people to starve because they literally can't add economic value, or not?" Howard asks.
If the answer is not, he says, then the smartest way to distribute the wealth is by implementing a universal basic income -- a system of wealth distribution based not on effort or skill level, but on the simple premise that everyone deserves the same amount to live comfortably.
"In a post-scarcity world, why hold back wealth from people just because they can't provide labor inputs just to create wealth?" he says.
I see. A post-scarcity world. No more of this:
And unto Adam he said, Because thou hast hearkened unto the voice of thy wife, and hast eaten of the tree, of which I commanded thee, saying, Thou shalt not eat of it: cursed is the ground for thy sake; in sorrow shalt thou eat of it all the days of thy life; Thorns also and thistles shall it bring forth to thee; and thou shalt eat the herb of the field; In the sweat of thy face shalt thou eat bread, till thou return unto the ground; for out of it wast thou taken: for dust thou art, and unto dust shalt thou return (Genesis 3:17-19).
No, it's back to the pre-Fall world of abundance. "Sorry, God, but you're not in charge any more. Computers are."
CENTRAL PLANNING
But computers need help from central planners. They can't do it by themselves. They need politicians and experts and free money for all.
In short, they need the Federal Reserve System. They need not only a zero interest rate program. They need free money for all. Helicopter money. No strings attached.
No more Marxism: "From each according to his abilities. To each according to his needs." Marx was a piker. We need this: "From each, a fogged mirror. To each according to his comfort -- as defined by caring algorithms."
Nirvana is just around the corner . . . if Congress acts fast.
It sounds like hell to me.

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